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  • Welcome
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    • Unedited for the record
    Uzodimma’s minimum increase a landmine for next Imo gov- Observers

    Uzodimma’s minimum increase a landmine for next Imo gov- Observers

    How MKO Abiola’s rift with editors inspired Newswatch magazine — Veteran journalist

    How MKO Abiola’s rift with editors inspired Newswatch magazine — Veteran journalist

    Fight against insurgency: Middle-belt Forum hail FG, Israel security pact

    Fight against insurgency: Middle-belt Forum hail FG, Israel security pact

    IGP orders probe into Amnesty International claims of extrajudicial killing, human rights violations in the South-east

    IGP orders probe into Amnesty International claims of extrajudicial killing, human rights violations in the South-east

    Insecurity in the South-east caused by Buhari’s clampdown on Pro-Biafra pretests-Amnesty International

    Insecurity in the South-east caused by Buhari’s clampdown on Pro-Biafra pretests-Amnesty International

    Economic crisis: Nigeria’s daily fuel consumption declines to 48 million litres

    Economic crisis: Nigeria’s daily fuel consumption declines to 48 million litres

  • Metro News
    Teachers, health workers strike,others:  Wike gets fresh ultimatum from FCT workers

    FCTA clears 1,000 shanties in Abuja district

    FCT set up committee to probe sales of FG houses, parks

    FCT set up committee to probe sales of FG houses, parks

    Imo government move to end open grazing in Owerri, issues two-week ultimatum to herders

    Imo government move to end open grazing in Owerri, issues two-week ultimatum to herders

    Lagos Assembly move to enact law to regulate house rents, agents, others

    Lagos Assembly move to enact law to regulate house rents, agents, others

    Teachers, health workers strike,others:  Wike gets fresh ultimatum from FCT workers

    Wike launch operation to flush street beggars, one- chance syndicate, others in FCT

    Teachers, health workers strike,others:  Wike gets fresh ultimatum from FCT workers

    Teachers, health workers strike,others: Wike gets fresh ultimatum from FCT workers

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    NLC lauds Gov. Sani over recall of Kaduna teachers sacked by El-Rufai 

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    NECO warns against fraudsters, says it is not recruiting

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    NAFDAC raids hawkers, seizes fake drugs in Abuja, Lagos

    NAFDAC raids hawkers, seizes fake drugs in Abuja, Lagos

    Uzodimma’s minimum increase a landmine for next Imo gov- Observers

    Uzodimma’s minimum increase a landmine for next Imo gov- Observers

    Court orders forfeiture of N246m shares linked to ex-army general

    Court orders forfeiture of N246m shares linked to ex-army general

    Trending Tags

  • Infotech
    NIMC partners online publishers to boost digital security through NIN enrollment

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    Facebook set new monetization rules for creators who uses other people content

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    Senate approves restoration of Aniocha North II State Constituency, Delta

    Bill mandating social media platforms to have physical office, records of employees pass second reading at the Senate

    Nigeria investigated  213 privacy breaches in 2024-NDPC

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    Israel bombs Iran’s heavy water reactor, says state television

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    Fight against insurgency: Middle-belt Forum hail FG, Israel security pact

    Fight against insurgency: Middle-belt Forum hail FG, Israel security pact

    Police, Omatekun, confirms the kidnap of seven farmers in Ondo

    Fear of attack grips Kwara NYSC over suspicious movements around camp

    Nwifuru demands arrest of killers of 13 Ebonyi indigenes in Anambra

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    State police only solution to Benue killings, others- Adams

    State police only solution to Benue killings, others- Adams

    Female suicide bomber kills 24, injure  scores in Borno community

    Female suicide bomber kills 24, injure scores in Borno community

    Obi calls for immediate end to violence against Benue communities

    Obi calls for immediate end to violence against Benue communities

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Home Politics

South Africa set to end three decades of ANC dominance

Daily Intel Newspaper by Daily Intel Newspaper
June 1, 2024
South Africa set to end three decades of ANC dominance

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For the first time in South Africa’s democratic era, the African National Congress , ANC, will have to seek a coalition partner to govern with after it fell short of securing majority votes n the national election.

With results from over 60% of polling stations, the ANC had just under 42% of votes, by far its worst result since democratic elections began after the end of apartheid in 1994 and leaving it short of a majority in parliament.

Some political analysts told the Reuters this could lead to party leader and South Africa’s President Cyril Ramaphosa having to step down.

Over the past four electoral cycles the ANC’s share of the vote gradually dropped, but never by more than five percentage points from one election to the next.

If the vote share of 42% or below is confirmed, the party could seek to oust Ramaphosa as its leader and nominate another high-profile politician such as Deputy President Paul Mashatile or Gwede Mantashe, currently in charge of the mines and energy ministry, to the National Assembly to elect as South African president.

A more probable scenario could see Ramaphosa carry on for a while to broker a coalition deal with another party in a bid to secure a parliamentary majority and then hand over to a successor, analysts say. Asked on Friday whether Ramaphosa would have to resign after the dismal election result, ANC First Deputy Secretary-General Nomvula Mokonyane said: “Nobody is going to resign.”

In any case, the ANC needs to move quickly as the constitution says the new National Assembly must convene within 14 days of the election results being declared, which is due to happen on Sunday, to elect a new president.

WHO ARE THE POTENTIAL COALITION PARTNERS?

Depending on the final numbers, the ANC may have no choice but to seek support from one of its larger rivals: the pro-business, white-led Democratic Alliance (DA), uMkhonto we Sizwe (MK), led by former president Jacob Zuma, or the Marxist Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF).

The price of a deal with either of those would likely be significant policy concessions by the ANC, as well as the offer of some senior government positions for their partner.

Analysts say it is difficult to envisage a stable arrangement under this scenario, and South Africa could be facing a period of unprecedented government volatility.

Investors and the business community would prefer a deal with the DA, which has received 23% of votes counted so far, and is seen as more market-friendly.

However, many analysts think the ideological divide between the ANC and the leading opposition party is so wide as to make such a deal difficult, if not impossible.

Credit: Additional report from the Reuters

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